The mediation effects of import on FDI and GDP in Sub-Sahara African countries

Scientific Study from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Trade and Distribution, , language: English, abstract: This study contributes to the empirical literature by investigating the mediation effects of import (IMP) in the linkages between inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI), and gross domestic product (GDP) for Sub-Sahara African Countries (SSA). The purpose of this study is to investigate how FDI contributes directly and indirectly to gross domestic product (GDP) through IMP. The FDI- IMP -GDP nexus has been neglected by researchers and policymakers. Commonly used methods in various publications analyzed the relationship among two variables without considering mediator variable. The study uses Baron and Kenny method, Bootstrap procedure, Sobel test to perform mediation analysis, and test the significance of the indirect effect respectively. Using data for annual 2018 for 39 SSA countries, the study finds a partial mediation of import in the relationship between FDI and GDP. The study demonstrates that effect of FDI on GDP is carried by increasing IMP. It is therefore recommended that SSA countries should stimulate FDI to bring new technology needed to increase exports, and gross domestic product through international trade. However, imports should be controlled to give priority in use of domestic goods and services.

Dr. Antoine NIYUNGEKO has more than 12 years working experience as Consultant in many business areas.He has a PhD in International Entrepreneurship, Master in Negociations and Sales Team Management, Master in Operational and Strategic Planning, and Master in Human Resources Management. He has created an audit and consultant firm ELAN CONSULT. The company is specialized in auditing, accounting, tax assistance, capacity building, and strategic planing. He has audited many company and projects. He has also trained workers from many companies.He has made 19 publications. Others are still under peer-review. He is a reviewer at Business & Economics journal which is indexed on Springer Nature. He is passionated by research. He has much skills in data analysis (qualitative and quantitative data). He has produced a practical guide of data analysis including useful statistical tests(regression, mediation, factor analysis, correlation, mean comparison, proportion comparision,etc). He speaks and write French, English, and Kirundi. He is in charge of research and data analysis in one local University.He actively in data analysis. He can be contacted on mail: niyungantoine@yahoo.fr. or by phone (+257) 75 997 606.